Stock Market Commentary

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Market Thoughts Into Year-End

I sent this note out to my clients earlier in the week. If you are interested in our Managed Account Products, please email me at: [email protected] After QE-1 ended, the market dropped -17%. After QE-2 ended, the market dropped -21%. Now that Operation Twist/QE-3 is over, many believe the market will drop again. In my [...]

By | November 1st, 2014|Tags: , , , , |

Thoughts on Today’s Selloff (4/10/14)

I got a few emails recently asking me why I haven't updated my blog and what are my thoughts on the market. 1) My last few blog posts were titled: "Running Low On New Ideas," "Caution Warranted," "Two Market Scenarios From Here" (both involved a correction), and 3 videos discussing how many leaders were breaking [...]

By | April 10th, 2014|Tags: , , , , |

Caution Warranted

Last weekend, I wrote a post about the lack of "New Ideas" in this market. On Tuesday night, I posted a video saying I was "short-term cautious." I know it hasn't paid to say ANYTHING bearish over the past 18 months because EVERY DIP has been bought, but this pullback feels different. I'm noticing that [...]

By | March 13th, 2014|Tags: , , |

A Seasonally Strong Time of the Year

Nothing has changed with my Fourth Quarter Game Plan that I outlined on 9/16/13. 1) There will be no Fed taper until next year. 2) The S&P 500 could see +5-7% upside from here, but individual stocks could potentially see significantly more upside. My feeling is that individual stock pickers will be rewarded more than [...]

By | October 17th, 2013|Tags: , , , , , , , , , |

Two Reasons The Market Will Make New Highs Later This Year

REASON #1 As many of you know, I use the price action of leading stocks to help me determine the overall health of the market. Everything else is just noise. When the market corrected in June, I thought we could be heading into a deeper correction...but something interesting happened. As I did my nightly screening work [...]

By | July 4th, 2013|Tags: , , , , |

Three Summer Scenarios

On 5/28/13, I wrote a blog post about how I lightened up my equity exposure. The S&P 500 was at 1660 and proceeded to drop over 60 points. When the S&P 500 found support on its 50-day moving average (around 1600 on 6/6/13), I began to increase my exposure as discussed here. Since then, the [...]

By | June 24th, 2013|Tags: , , , , |

A Few Strong Technical Signs

On Tuesday night (5/28/13), I wrote a blog post about how I lightened up my stock positions and reduced my market exposure. At the time, the S&P 500 was at 1660 and proceeded to drop over 60 points into last Thursday (6/6/13). I began to increase my exposure around these levels for the following reasons: [...]

By | June 9th, 2013|Tags: , , , , , |

Market Video (3/18/13)

I am still finding health in the price action of individual stocks. Considering how it was supposed to be a disastrous day due to the Cyprus news, I thought today (Monday, March 18) was constructive. Overall, the market pulled back on light volume and we closed in the upper end of the day's range. I [...]

By | March 18th, 2013|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , |

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